The FDA said it will review Moderna’s application for the first mRNA flu shot after initially issuing a refuse-to-file letter — a reversal that hinges on Moderna agreeing to a post-market confirmatory study in older adults using a high-dose comparator.
The move
The Food and Drug Administration reversed course Wednesday and said it would review Moderna’s application after earlier saying it wouldn’t even look at it.
FDA Commissioner Marty Makary signaled the refuse-to-file letter was part of an iterative process between the agency and the company.
HHS spokesman Andrew Nixon said FDA met with Moderna and the company amended its application; FDA then accepted it for review.
Why it Matters for Care
If approved, clinicians could see a new influenza vaccine platform: Moderna’s flu shot built on the COVID-19 mRNA approach the company used to rapidly develop and manufacture its pandemic vaccine.
The key clinical sticking point is evidence in older adults: FDA wanted comparative safety/efficacy data versus a CDC-recommended high-dose flu vaccine, given higher risk and different immune responses in this population.
Moderna now says it will run a confirmatory study in older adults after the vaccine is on the market — raising the practical question of how quickly definitive comparative data will arrive relative to adoption.
Between the Lines
This is a high-stakes signal to industry about regulatory predictability: Moderna says FDA agreed to the trial design 18 months ago, while HHS says the company didn’t follow 2024 guidance on the comparator.
Health economist Rena Conti (Boston University) warned the back-and-forth fits a pattern of “chaotic decision-making,” which can chill long-horizon vaccine investment.
Moderna has put over $1B into the program, including up to $750M from Blackstone — creating pressure for a timely pathway while FDA emphasizes “high standards” for licensure.
What to Watch
FDA’s review outcome and timing — and whether the agency adds conditions or requires more pre-licensure comparative data for older adults.
Details of the post-market confirmatory trial (design, endpoints, timelines) and how results may affect labeling, recommendations, and uptake.
Whether the vaccine can realistically be cleared in time for the next flu season, as Moderna claims, pending FDA approval.
Source: NPR Health